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New York Fed: Americans still positive on housing

Not much has changed since 2014

Americans’ views toward housing have not varied much over the past year, and they are still positive on homeownership as a good financial investment.

According the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s 2015 housing survey, U.S. households, on average, expect home-price growth to continue at a 4.4% pace for the next year, comparable to the average year-ahead expectation reported in last year’s survey.

FR of NY

Source: New York Federal Reserve

Last year’s survey was the first in the series, with this year’s survey getting administered to 1,205 U.S. heads of household in February 2015.

Survey respondents were asked for the current value of a typical home in their zip code, and what they expected the value of that home to be in one year and in five years.

With regard to longer-term expectations, the average expected annualized change in home prices over the next five years was 2.9%. These figures were slightly lower than the corresponding figures in the 2014 survey, where the mean expected annualized change in home prices over the longer horizon was 3.1%. Overall, respondents expected home price growth to continue, but at a slower pace at a horizon beyond one year.

Heads of households were also asked the ultimate question: Is housing a good investment?

Click to enlarge

FR of NY

Source: New York Federal Reserve

The survey found that more than 60% of both renters and owners think that buying property in their zip code is a (very or somewhat) good investment, while only about 10% think it is a bad investment.

When it comes to renters answering this question, there was little difference in how they answered compared to 2014.

However, there is one area where this year is even more positive. Owners seem to have become more bullish since last year’s survey. The proportion of owners who think that housing is a good investment increased from 58.5% in the 2014 survey to 63.2%, while the proportion thinking that housing is a bad investment declined from 11.9% to 9.8%.

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